Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.034438 0.040485 0.046754 0.053701 0.061147 0.068858 0.077413
2026-01-18 0.025424 0.033997 0.043425 0.054389 0.066636 0.079763 0.094773
2026-01-25 0.019440 0.029360 0.040859 0.054769 0.070798 0.088407 0.108955
2026-02-01 0.014837 0.025414 0.038323 0.054502 0.073644 0.095095 0.120525
2026-02-08 0.010323 0.020742 0.034262 0.051876 0.073289 0.097760 0.127213
2026-02-15 0.007602 0.017927 0.032117 0.051227 0.074977 0.102536 0.136087
2026-02-22 0.005864 0.016174 0.031110 0.051799 0.077970 0.108705 0.146451
2026-03-01 0.004520 0.014743 0.030351 0.052540 0.081058 0.114896 0.156765
2026-03-08 0.003653 0.013925 0.030337 0.054168 0.085178 0.122268 0.168419
2026-03-15 0.002764 0.012825 0.029784 0.054986 0.088214 0.128287 0.178442
2026-03-22 0.002646 0.013278 0.031561 0.058959 0.095250 0.139142 0.194185
2026-03-29 0.001675 0.011529 0.029788 0.057954 0.095853 0.142132 0.200552
2026-04-05 0.001158 0.010696 0.029481 0.059097 0.099402 0.148957 0.211800
2026-04-12 0.000672 0.009623 0.028679 0.059501 0.101991 0.154629 0.221724
2026-04-19 0.000328 0.008629 0.027888 0.059847 0.104457 0.160122 0.231415
2026-04-26 0.000092 0.007512 0.026727 0.059558 0.106019 0.164446 0.239658
2026-05-03 NaN 0.005744 0.024043 0.056806 0.104147 0.164370 0.242476
2026-05-10 NaN 0.004792 0.022782 0.056125 0.105012 0.167692 0.249391
2026-05-17 NaN 0.004278 0.022366 0.056725 0.107605 0.173187 0.258953
2026-05-24 NaN 0.003854 0.022083 0.057502 0.110423 0.178955 0.268842
2026-05-31 NaN 0.003686 0.022378 0.059207 0.114531 0.186374 0.280766
2026-06-07 NaN 0.003338 0.022172 0.060063 0.117434 0.192236 0.290761
2026-06-14 NaN 0.003746 0.023943 0.064220 0.125000 0.204115 0.308212